Verified means measured, not good. Thirteen of our 22 verified channels are underwater on the record we computed for them — including one that gets 89% of its entries right.
What does the badge on a channel actually certify?
That we replayed it ourselves.
A channel is Signal Verified when we have read its published entries, replayed each one against real 1-minute exchange candles, and computed what following it exactly as posted would have returned. The badge says the numbers on that page were measured by us from price data. It says nothing whatsoever about whether they are good.
That distinction is not a disclaimer bolted on for safety. It is the whole design. A channel can be verified and losing, and its page will show the losses in the same detail as the wins — because a badge that only appeared over good results would be a recommendation wearing the costume of a measurement.
Verification also cannot be bought. Paid tiers on ChainRated affect visibility and placement; they touch no calculated number and no badge.
How much of the catalogue is verified?
Counted on 19 August 2026, the day this was written: 47 channels listed, 22 of them Signal Verified, 17 with enough scored verdicts to carry a ranked hit rate, standing on 4,056 parsed signals and 3,995 resolved outcomes. Every figure in this article is a reading taken that day — the index grows and the replays keep running, so the live pages will not match it for long.
The remaining channels are not failures of ours or theirs — most of them publish nothing that could ever be replayed, which is a category of its own.
What does the hit rate mean, and what is a normal one?
Every channel is asked the same question: of everything you published, how much of it reached a +2% price move before hitting your stop?
One fixed take, whole position, no leverage, the channel's own stop where it published one. The reason for one fixed take rather than each channel's own targets is that target ladders are not comparable — a channel whose first target sits 0.5% away "hits TP1" constantly, and one aiming at 5% rarely does. The full rules are on the Methodology page.
Across the 17 channels we could score on that date, the middle one converted 68% of its calls. The range ran from 54% to 91%, and the median channel got there on 59 scored verdicts.
Two things follow. First, a high hit rate is normal at this take: 2% is a short distance, and reaching it before a stop is not a hard test. Second, precisely because the numbers cluster high, small differences between channels mean much less than they look like they do — which is why the sample size sits next to every percentage, and why a hit rate on fewer than ten verdicts is shown as a dash instead of a number.
Can a channel be verified and still lose money?
Yes, and it is the common case rather than the exception.
Alongside the one-take hit rate, each verified channel's page carries a second replay: what following its own published targets and stops, trade for trade, would have returned. On 19 August 2026, 13 of the 22 verified channels were underwater on that record.
One of them is worth stating in full, because it is the clearest thing on this site. A channel converting 89% of its entries — one of the highest hit rates we hold, on 119 scored verdicts — sits at roughly −499% cumulative on the as-published replay. Nothing about that is contradictory. The entries were good: price moved 2% their way, again and again. What followed the entries was not, and the losses that arrived when a trade went the other way were large enough to swallow every one of those wins.
That gap is the reason we publish two numbers instead of one. The hit rate answers "was the call right when it was made". The as-published record answers "what would have happened to your money". A channel can be excellent at the first and ruinous at the second, and a badge that collapsed them into a single verdict would hide exactly the thing a subscriber most needs to see.
Can a channel improve its number after the fact?
No, and the mechanism is worth knowing.
Every signal is stored as first seen, and every metric is computed from that stored snapshot. Editing a message afterwards changes nothing. Deleting one changes nothing — it stays in the statistics.
Separately, we re-read recent messages at the source and compare them against our snapshot. Where the text no longer matches, or the message is gone, the channel's page shows the count. Not a diff, not an accusation: channels fix typos and correct tickers, and the reader draws their own conclusion from a number.
One detail decides whether that count is honest. Telegram marks a message as edited for things that have nothing to do with its words — buttons, media, a link preview. On the first channel we checked, 38 of 100 messages carried the mark while the text was identical to what we stored. So the mark only tells us where to look; the text comparison decides.
What does a verified record still leave open?
How the position was managed. Our one-take test measures the entry: did the market move your way before it moved against you. It says nothing about what the channel told its followers to do next. A call can pass the one-take test and still have been ruinous to hold.
What the stop cost. Wide stops make the test easier to pass and more expensive when they fail. The hit rate must be read next to the stop distances on the same page.
What happens at your sizing. The replay uses the whole position and no leverage, deliberately: sizing and leverage are follower choices, and folding them into the score would be us inventing a trader who does not exist.
Whether it continues. Nothing here is a forecast.
Where can a channel go from here?
Up, if it chooses to. A channel that publishes only into a paid group can open that feed to us, and its closed signals get replayed exactly like public ones — the Private feed open badge. An owner can also connect a read-only exchange key, so a real trading account is visible behind the posts — the Proof of trades badge.
Both mean transparency, not performance. Neither is for sale. Both fall off automatically when the access behind them ends. The trust ladder explains what each step settles.